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Russia Says OPEC+ Will Continue After UAE Exit, No Price War Expected


These translations are done via Google Translate

By Vladimir Soldatkin and Anton Kolodyazhnyy

  • Russia’s Novak: oil industry is facing its deepest crisis
  • Novak: hard to talk about a price war amid market shortages
  • Novak: Russia will stay in OPEC+, committed to ​its mechanism
  • Novak: it may take several months for oil market to recover

MOSCOW, April 30 (Reuters) – Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Thursday that the OPEC+ group of leading oil producers would continue working together despite the departure of the United Arab Emirates, Russian news agencies reported.


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According to ​the reports, Novak said he did not expect an oil price war to emerge following ​the UAE’s exit given a global oil deficit.

The UAE said on Tuesday it was ⁠quitting OPEC, dealing a blow to the oil producers’ group as an unprecedented energy crisis triggered ​by the Iran war exposes discord among Gulf nations.

The UAE was the fourth-largest producer in OPEC+, which ​comprises OPEC and its allies, while Russia is second, behind Saudi Arabia.

“In the current situation, it is hard to talk about a price war when there is a shortage in the market. What we are seeing instead is ​the deepest crisis in the industry,” Novak was quoted as saying by Interfax news agency.

“Large volumes of ​oil are not reaching the market today, while demand significantly exceeds supply. This has created an imbalance due to ‌serious ⁠logistical disruptions, including the situation in the Middle East,” Novak said according to Interfax.

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Novak also reiterated that Russia will remain in OPEC+, which was formed in 2016, and that it was committed to the group’s mechanism, which regulates participants’ production.

SEVERAL MONTHS NEEDED FOR MARKETS TO RECOVER

Since the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran that began ​on February 28 caused ​the near-total closure of ⁠the Strait of Hormuz, the global market has lost access to 500 million barrels of crude and refined products output, according to analysts at Citi.

That ​sparked surging prices on panic buying, but the higher prices have destroyed ​demand from consumers ⁠and refiners.

Novak estimated the loss at 600 million barrels, saying that it would take several months for the global market to recover.

“This is a fairly large volume. Many countries have been forced to draw on ⁠their reserves, ​depleting their accumulated stocks. When the crisis ends, those reserves ​will need to be rebuilt,” he was quoted as saying by Interfax.

Novak also did not rule out further oil price increases ​if the conflict drags on.

Reporting by Anton Kolodyazhnyy and Vladimir Soldatkin. Editing by Mark Potter, Kirsten Donovan

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