“Several other producers are having trouble getting frack crews, they’re having trouble getting labor and they’re having trouble getting sand; that’s going to keep anybody from growing,” Sheffield said. “If the president wants us to grow, I just don’t think the industry can grow anyway.”
Surging oil prices that many on Wall Street now expect to reach $100 a barrel have been a major cause of concern for governments confronting voter discontent over a higher cost of living. Most notably, U.S. President Joe Biden, has criticized American drillers for not producing more and has released crude from strategic reserves in a bid to ease gasoline prices at the pump.
Crude prices have surged 40% since early December to more than $90 a barrel as rising global demand and geopolitical concerns increase due to tensions between Russia and Ukraine. But don’t expect U.S. shale to increase production to ease shortages, Sheffield said.
“If Russian oil is sanctioned, or if Russia decides to stop exporting, then it’s going to be up to the Saudis and UAE to decide whether to break the pact and increase production,” he said.
To be sure, oil’s rally has triggered somewhat of a revival of shale drilling, with producers adding the most oil rigs in four years last week. The Permian Basin, the world’s most prolific shale patch, has reached record production for three consecutive months.
But costs of producing shale oil increased 10% to 15% in the latter half of last year and will increase another 6% this year, Sheffield said. The higher costs, coupled with labor and sand supply constraints, could limit how much more output can grow.
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