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Oil Extends Gain From Two-Week High as U.S. Stockpiles Decline

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(Bloomberg) Oil extended gains from a two-week high after U.S. crude and fuel stockpiles posted strong declines, signaling peak summer demand remains robust despite a resurgence of Covid-19.Futures in New York traded near $73 a barrel after climbing 1% on Wednesday. Crude inventories dropped more than expected last week to the lowest since January 2020, while supplies of distillates — a category that includes diesel — slid the most since April, government data showed. Oil has also been supported as a weaker dollar boosts the appeal of commodities priced in the currency.
U.S. crude inventories resume downward trend

The U.S. Federal Reserve indicated on Wednesday that it wasn’t quite ready to wind down economic support measures, which not only pressured the dollar but pushed up equities.

“The perception of a dovish Fed is weighing on the dollar and lifting risky assets,” said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG in Zurich. “At the same time, ongoing declines in oil inventories are supporting crude from a fundamental perspective, and should continue as summer holidays in the northern hemisphere lift demand.”

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Oil has been whipsawed throughout July and is set for only the second monthly loss since October after the virus comeback coincided with an OPEC+ agreement to increase output from August. The fast-spreading delta variant has led to renewed restrictions in some regions and raised concerns about short-term demand, although there are expectations the market will continue to tighten.

  • West Texas Intermediate for September rose 0.7% to $72.92 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 10:33 a.m. London time.
  • Brent for September, which expires Friday, gained 0.5% to $75.12 on the ICE Futures Europe exchange, after adding 0.4% on Wednesday.
    • Its prompt timespread was 84 cents a barrel in backwardation — a bullish market structure — compared with 64 cents a week earlier.

U.S. crude stockpiles shrank by 4.09 million barrels last week, according to data from the Energy Information Administration, compared with forecasts for a 2.5 million-barrel decline in a Bloomberg survey. Gasoline inventories also fell, dropping by 2.25 million barrels.

Other market news:
  • Royal Dutch Shell Plc raised its dividend by almost 40% and said it will buy back $2 billion of shares, continuing an effort to win back investors as stronger oil prices and a buoyant chemicals market lifted earnings.
  • Saudi Aramco may increase the official selling price of its Arab Light crude by 50 cents a barrel month-on-month for September sales to Asia, according to a Bloomberg survey.
  • The top executive at Petroleos Mexicanos slammed the decision by Moody’s Investors Service to cut the state oil producer’s credit rating further into junk, calling the move “shameful.”

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