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Copper Tip Energy

Oil Rises Toward $60 as Investors Weigh Near-Term Demand Outlook

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(Bloomberg) Oil gained, nearing $60 a barrel, as investors continued to assess the recovery in consumption globally.Futures in New York rose as the dollar fell, making commodities priced in the U.S. currency more attractive. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that the U.S. economy was poised for stronger growth, but he cautioned that the pandemic remains a threat. That’s been highlighted in other regions including parts of Europe, while another wave of infections in India is overwhelming the health system.

Yemen’s Houthis said they attacked oil facilities in Saudi Arabia, as the group steps up strikes on the kingdom, a reminder of political tensions in the Middle East. While such attacks have increased this year, they rarely claim lives or cause extensive damage.

Oil futures are stuck near $60 after a rapid gain

Oil has gotten stuck in recent weeks, as traders look for more signs of a recovery in consumption from the Covid-19 pandemic. Trading volumes have slumped — falling below their 15-day average every day last week — as the market awaits a breakout. In the meantime, the OPEC+ alliance agreed to add more barrels from May.

“Oil is in wait-and-see mode for the next catalyst,” said Giovanni Staunovo, commodity analyst at UBS Group AG. “The accelerating pace of vaccination we already see slowly will result in less mobility restrictions and support oil demand and prices.”

Sky Eye Measurement
Sky Eye Measurement
  • West Texas Intermediate for May settlement added 58 cents to $59.90 at 11:34 a.m. London time
  • Brent for June settlement rose 1.1% to $63.63

Iran also remains a wildcard for the market. Talks between the OPEC producer and world powers on resuscitating a 2015 nuclear accord are set to continue this week after an initial round of discussions, described by a senior U.S. official as a good first step but still short of what’s necessary for a revival of the deal.

Further down the line, the outlook for the oil market may be getting weaker, Morgan Stanley analysts Martijn Rats and Amy Sergeant wrote in a report. That’s because Iranian supply may return quicker than expected, while U.S. drilling activity has continued to increase. It means price gains later this year could be limited, they said.

Other oil-market news:
  • Saudi Arabia will supply all the crude that was requested by India’s state-owned refiners and several other Asian customers next month as the producer starts to ramp up output.
  • An Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund may join a group investing in Saudi Aramco’s oil pipelines, in a deal set to be backed by a loan of around $10.5 billion.
  • Officials in China signaled the country is getting serious about squashing commodities inflation after a blow-out in factory figures last week. The move hit most metals markets on Monday.

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