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Barclays Says Brent Could Top $85/bbl if Russian Exports Drop Sharply


These translations are done via Google Translate

brent crude trades above $87, sets highest levels since april 1200x810

(Reuters) – Brent crude could rise above $85 per barrel if Russian exports fall sharply, Barclays said, well above the bank’s previous forecast of $66 per barrel for 2026.

In late October, U.S. President Donald Trump imposed Ukraine-related sanctions on Russia’s largest oil companies, Lukoil and Rosneft, in Washington’s toughest measures against Russian business during the war with Ukraine.


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“Geopolitical tensions remain elevated while oil flows continue largely unabated,” Barclays said in a note on Friday, reiterating that this poses upside risks to oil prices.

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Brent crude futures were trading around $64.43 a barrel as of 1728 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was trading at $60.16.

Barclays said oil demand continues to grow broadly in line with the long-term pre-pandemic trend despite the rise of electric vehicles, and the bank does not see a peak in demand on the horizon anytime soon.

The bank said growing tensions between the United States and Venezuela and a U.S. military buildup in the Caribbean also pose upside risks to oil prices.

Reporting by Sarah Qureshi in Bengaluru; Editing by Susan Fenton

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