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Oil Steady as Traders Count Down Final Hours to OPEC+ Meet

These translations are done via Google Translate
(Bloomberg) Oil was little changed ahead of an OPEC+ meeting that should see further output added to a market that the group sees as needing extra supply.West Texas Intermediate was up 0.2% after losing more than 7% in August, the biggest monthly decline this year. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies including Russia are expected to ratify a plan to add 400,000 barrels a day in October, wagering that the market can absorb the extra flows as demand recovers from the coronavirus pandemic.

The extra supply from OPEC+ comes as one key member – Iran – dashed hopes of a quick return to nuclear talks. The longer that process draws out, the further it pushes back larger volumes of Iranian supply returning to the market.

Oil prices have rallied this year as OPEC restores production

The market is also having to assess the longer term impact of Hurricane Ida, which had shut some U.S. crude output, but also damaged refineries. Government inventory figures will be released later — although they will cover the period before Ida struck.

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After rallying in the first half, crude’s surge stalled over the past two months amid concern about the spread of the delta variant and a rebound in the U.S. dollar. OPEC+ has been gradually restoring the supply it took offline last year as the pandemic broke out, crushing consumption. The alliance projects that global inventories will continue to drop this year even as it loosens the taps.

“The next price catalyst will likely be today’s OPEC+ meeting,” said Stephen Brennock an analyst at brokerage PVM Oil Associates Ltd. “There is no reason to think it will rock the boat when it comes to its production strategy. OPEC and its partners will stick to their current timetable for increasing oil production.”

  • WTI for October delivery rose 0.2% to $68.62 a barrel at 10:12 a.m. in London.
  • Brent for November settlement climbed 0.2% to $71.78

Traders were also assessing figures that pointed to a climb in crude inventories in Cushing, Oklahoma. The industry-funded American Petroleum Institute reported holdings at the key hub rose more than 2 million barrels last week, according to people familiar with the figures. Gasoline stockpiles also gained, although there was a draw in nationwide crude inventories, the data showed, ahead of a government breakdown later on Wednesday.

Related news:
  • OPEC and its allies expect oil markets will continue to tighten this year even as they revive output, but then flip into surplus in 2022.
  • Chinese independent oil refiners returned to the physical market in recent weeks, aiding a recovery in Asian demand after a crackdown had spurred buyers to scale back activity.
  • Jet-fuel demand in Asia suffered a blow last month as the delta coronavirus variant flared, prompting airlines to cut services.

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