Oil Extends Gain From 1-Year High as Lower Stockpiles Aid Rally
February 3, 2021 EnergyNow Media
(Bloomberg) Oil extended gains after closing at the highest level in more than a year as declines in U.S. and Chinese crude stockpiles added impetus to a rally driven by tightening global supplies.Futures in New York climbed to trade above $55 a barrel. The American Petroleum Institute reported crude inventories fell by 4.3 million barrels last week, people familiar with the data said. It would be a seventh decline in eight weeks if confirmed by government data later Wednesday. Chinese stockpiles dropped to the lowest in almost a year, according to data provider Kayrros.The tighter supplies are bringing traders flocking back to the oil market. Holdings of WTI futures contracts are now at their highest level since April, having jumped by the equivalent of more than 235 million barrels so far this year.
Whittling down stockpiles has been a major objective for OPEC and its allies. A committee of the alliance is scheduled to meet Wednesday to discuss the market as the pandemic continues to rage but more vaccines are being rolled out. Crude’s futures price curve is established in a bullish backwardation structure, suggesting investors are comfortable with the supply and demand situation.
“The crude oil market is getting close to a frenzy,” said Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at SEB AB. “A reflection of the tightening global crude oil market is the continued strengthening of the Brent crude oil curve.”
West Texas Intermediate for March rose 1.1% to $55.36 a barrel at 8:48 a.m. in New York
Brent for April settlement advanced 1.1% to $58.08
An OPEC+ technical panel expects the oil surplus will drain by the middle of the year after Saudi Arabia’s unilateral output cuts. Morgan Stanley said visible stockpiles have fallen by 3.6 million barrels a day over the last 30 days.
Prices further out along the futures curve are also climbing. WTI for next year topped $50 a barrel on Wednesday to trade at the highest since February. It may incentivize producers to add more supply in the coming months.
Other oil-market news
The API also reported U.S. distillates and gasoline stockpiles fell by 1.62 million barrels and 240,000 barrels, respectively, last week. Crude inventories in the hub of Cushing declined by 1.9 million barrels.
A fragile recovery in Asian aviation is being snuffed out by a resurgence of Covid-19 in the region, pushing back forecasts for when air travel will get back to pre-virus levels and weighing on jet fuel margins.
The U.S. has gone to court to seize 2 million barrels of oil that it claims came from Iran, as President Joe Biden’s administration shows little sign of taking a softer line on Tehran.
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