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Oil Extends Losses on Fears Second Virus Wave Will Hit Economy


By Ann Koh and Grant Smith

(Bloomberg) Oil fell again as a fresh coronavirus outbreak in China, and increases in cases elsewhere, spurred concerns that a second wave of the virus will derail a nascent economic recovery.Futures traded near $35 a barrel in New York, sinking in tandem with equity markets, after losing 8.3% last week. Beijing closed the city’s largest fruit and vegetable supply center following a surge of cases, stirring fears of a resurgence just as the world’s largest oil user is showing signs of improving demand.“Fear has started sprouting again,” said Bjornar Tonhaugen, head of oil markets at consultants Rystad Energy A/S in Oslo. “Concerns that we may be seeing the beginning of a second wave of the pandemic are dominating trading floors this morning across the globe.”

Crude prices under pressure again

Crude’s six-week rally fizzled last week amid concerns the worst of the virus isn’t yet over and as the Federal Reserve warned the pandemic could inflict lasting damage on the American economy. BP Plc’s announcement on Monday that it will write down the value of its business by the most in a decade reinforced the picture of an industry in turmoil.

West Texas Intermediate crude for July settlement fell 2.2% to $35.46 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange as of 10:44 a.m. in London. It has lost 11% since closing at a three-month high on June 10. Brent for August delivery declined 54 cents to $38.19 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange after dropping by 8.4% last week.

Still, there are signs that the physical oil market is tightening.

OPEC and its allies have agreed to maintain production cutbacks amounting to about 10% of global supply into next month, and will hold committee meetings on Wednesday and Thursday to assess their impact. Iraq, which has typically lagged in implementing its agreed cuts, instructed BP to reduce output by 10% at the country’s biggest oilfield.

Active drilling rigs across the U.S. fell for a 13th week to the lowest in more than a decade, data from Baker Hughes showed on Friday. On the demand side, Chinese official figures showed refinery runs in Asia’s largest economy rose last month on a year-on-year basis.

Chinese refineries ran 13.69 million barrels a day in May, according to Bloomberg calculations based on figures from the nation’s statistics bureau. That was 7.5% higher than in April and 8.2% more than a year earlier.

Other oil-market news
  • Once the global oil market emerges from the coronavirus crisis, it may be greeted by a surprising change: greater dependence on crude from OPEC.
  • While Chinese domestic flights have rebounded, the busy concourses don’t extend to the international terminals, signaling a long and slow recovery for airlines, the refiners who produce jet fuel and oil prices.
  • The cost of hiring a supertanker to transport or store crude oil has slumped in the past few weeks, hurting traders and charterers who locked in rates earlier in the year via longer-term arrangements.


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