(Reuters) – U.S. natural gas storage is on track to end the April-October summer injection season at a four-year high of 3.899 trillion cubic feet (tcf) on Oct. 31, according to analysts’ estimates.
That compares with 3.809 tcf at the end of the summer injection season in 2023, 3.929 tcf in 2020 and a five-year (2019-2023) average of 3.747 tcf.
Looking ahead to the end of the November 2024-March 2025 winter withdrawal season, analysts project storage will fall to 1.754 tcf on March 31, the lowest in three years.
That compares with an eight-year high of 2.289 tcf of gas in storage at the end of the winter withdrawal season in 2024, 1.401 tcf at the end of March 2022 and a five-year (2020-2024) average of 1.874 tcf.
The 384 active storage fields in the Lower 48 states had a design capacity of 4.666 tcf in November 2023, according to the latest federal data available.
The following lists analysts’ storage estimates in trillion cubic feet with the most recent estimates on top:
Company | Oct 31, 2024 | Oct 31, 2024 | Mar 31, 2025 | Mar 31, 2025 | Date |
tcf | tcf | tcf | tcf | ||
Current | Previous | Current | Previous | ||
Bank of America | 3.950 | 3.950 | Sep 23 | ||
EBW Analytics | 3.834 | 3.878 | Sep 23 | ||
LSEG | 3.839 | 3.760 | 1.030 | 0.661 | Sep 23 |
Piper Sandler | 3.730 | 3.780 | 1.860 | Sep 11 | |
U.S. EIA | 3.921 | 3.954 | 1.942 | 1.963 | Sep 10 |
RBC Capital | 3.975 | Sep 5 | |||
Mizuho | 2.291 | Sep 1 | |||
Tudor Pickering Holt & Co | 3.840 | 3.760 | Aug 16 | ||
Energy Aspects | 3.930 | May 17 | |||
Citibank | 3.872 | Apr 10 | |||
Morgan Stanley | 3.900 | Jan 5 | |||
UBS | 4.100 | Jan 3 |
Reporting by Scott DiSavino
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