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The decline in crude comes ahead of the release of crucial US inflation data later Tuesday that’ll shape investor expectations for how high the Federal Reserve will push interest rates to bring inflation back under control.
Oil has had a mixed start to 2023 as traders attempt to price the demand impact of China’s re-opening, the supply curbs announced by Moscow amid the war in Ukraine, and persistent concerns that tighter US monetary policy may trigger a recession. At the same time, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies have been pressing on with cutbacks in output amid concerns around oil supply, according to the UAE’s energy minister.
More US crude sales should not have a protracted impact on prices, according to Tamas Varga, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates Ltd. “US inflation data will give some food for thought to investors. If it comes in worst than expected, the market will expect rates to be higher for longer and that will push equities lower and therefore oil lower.”
Prices:
- WTI for March delivery fell 1.4% to $79.02 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 10:12 a.m. in London.
- Brent for April settlement was 1% lower at $85.74 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange.
The Biden administration ordered an unprecedented release from the SPR last year to combat the inflationary fallout from the war in Ukraine, which included soaring gasoline prices. Since then, the Energy Department has sought to stop some of the sales so the reserve can be refilled.
OPEC is due to issue its monthly market snapshot later on Tuesday, offering traders fresh insight into the cartel’s view of supply and demand over 2023.
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