Total output in the major U.S. shale oil basins will rise 143,000 bpd to 8.901 million bpd in July, the highest since March 2020, the EIA projected.
In the Bakken in North Dakota and Montana, EIA projected oil output will rise 19,000 bpd to 1.197 million bpd in July, the most since November 2020.
In the Eagle Ford in South Texas, output will rise 28,000 bpd to 1.180 million bpd in July, its highest since April 2020.
Total natural gas output in the big shale basins will increase 0.8 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) to a record 92.3 bcfd in July, EIA forecast.
In the biggest shale gas basin, EIA said, output in Appalachia in Pennsylvania, Ohio and West Virginia will rise to 35.4 bcfd in July, its highest since hitting a record 36.0 bcfd in December 2021.
Gas output in the Permian and the Haynesville in Texas, Louisiana and Arkansas will rise to record highs of 20.4 bcfd and 15.2 bcfd in July, respectively.
But productivity in the biggest oil and gas basins has declined every month since setting records of new oil well production per rig of 1,544 bpd in December 2020 in the Permian, and new gas well production per rig of 33.3 million cubic feet per day (mmcfd) in March 2021 in Appalachia.
In July, EIA expects new oil well production per rig will drop to 1,116 bpd in the Permian, the lowest since August 2020, and new gas well production per rig will drop to 28.0 mmcfd in Appalachia, the lowest since September 2020.
EIA said producers drilled 911 wells and completed 957, both the most since March 2020, in the biggest shale basins in May.
That left total drilled but uncompleted (DUC) wells down 46 to 4,249, the lowest since at least December 2013, according to EIA data going back that far. The number of DUCs available has fallen for 23 consecutive months.