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Oil Drops as U.S. Inventories Rise, Trump Signs Hong Kong Bill


By Ann Koh and Alex Longley

(Bloomberg) Oil fell for a second day after U.S. crude supplies rose and President Donald Trump signed a law supporting Hong Kong protesters, potentially complicating trade talks with China.Futures declined as much as 0.8% in New York. American stockpiles defied analyst expectations to expand for a fifth week and output reached a record high of 12.9 million barrels a day, according to the Energy Information Administration. The legislation signed by Trump requires annual reviews of Hong Kong’s special trade status under American law. China said the action would strain ties.

U.S. crude production soars, putting pressure on prices

Crude has been rising since early October on signs the U.S. and China will reach a limited trade deal. But that agreement could now be harder to reach with China threatening to retaliate and saying the new law risks affecting “cooperation in important areas.” On the supply side, expectations that OPEC and its partners will make deeper output cuts next year are evaporating.

“The main price driver, the trade talks, has suffered a blow as President Trump put pen to paper and signed the bill that backs the Hong Kong protesters into law,” PVM Oil Associates analyst Tamas Varga wrote in a report.

West Texas Intermediate for January delivery fell 26 cents to $57.85 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 10:38 a.m. in London, after declining 30 cents on Wednesday. Brent for January dropped 26 cents to $63.80 on the ICE Futures Europe Exchange, and traded at a $5.96 premium to WTI.

When signing the Hong Kong legislation, Trump signaled that he didn’t want the broader relationship with China to veer off track, giving some hope a trade deal is still within reach. He said on Tuesday the two sides were in the “final throes” of an agreement that would start to unwind tariffs on about $500 billion in products traded between them.

Drivers
  • Just one out of 35 analysts and traders in a global survey by Bloomberg predicted that OPEC and its allies will agree a further reduction when they meet next week.
  • Russian oil executives have proposed sticking with the current OPEC+ deal, Lukoil PJSC First VP Ravil Maganov said after a meeting with Energy Minister Alexander Novak.
  • Libya restarted production at a key oil field after clashes between rival fighters forced a temporary halt of operations.


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