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Oil Declines Amid Concern Over Trade Talks, Long-Term Demand

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These translations are done via Google Translate

By Elizabeth Low and Grant Smith

(Bloomberg) Oil fell for a third day amid concerns over the U.S.-China trade dispute, and signs of another increase in American crude stockpiles.Futures declined as much as 1.1% in New York. President Donald Trump’s speech on Tuesday disappointed investors after he gave little insight on how the impasse with Beijing will be resolved, and warned of higher tariffs if a deal can’t be reached. Worries over long-term oil demand also grew as the International Energy Agency predicted that consumption will plateau around 2030.

Oil Demand Plateau

While crude prices have picked up over the past month, they’re still down about 15% from the peak reached in April as the prolonged U.S.-China trade dispute saps an already-fragile global economy, crimping fuel demand. OPEC, which cut production this year to prop up the market, has signaled it’s unlikely to take stronger action to prevent a renewed glut in 2020.

“The market was none the wiser following President Trump’s speech,” said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of commodity markets strategy at BNP Paribas SA. “Concerns over U.S.-China trade relations, as well as speculation around what OPEC might decide to do about supply cuts come early December, continued to linger.”

West Texas Intermediate for December delivery fell 45 cents, or 0.8%, to $56.35 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange as of 9:04 a.m. local time.


Brent for January dropped 61 cents, or 1%, to $61.45 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe Exchange, and traded at a $5.05 premium to WTI for the same month.


Read: Global Oil Demand to Hit a Plateau Around 2030, IEA Predicts

American crude inventories are forecast to have risen by 1.5 million barrels last week, according to a Bloomberg survey, adding to concerns over a looming supply glut. That would be the eighth increase in nine weeks if confirmed by official Energy Information Administration data due on Thursday. Stockpiles were at 446.8 million barrels as of Nov. 1, the highest since mid-July.

Other oil-market news
  • It would be premature for OPEC and its allies to discuss deepening production cuts, Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo said. He also doesn’t see the risk of an oil-price spike next year.
  • Saudi Arabia is looking at new ways to promote the use of oil and natural gas as electric vehicles and climate concerns could curb consumption of the fuels, Oil Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said in Riyadh.
  • The fast-approaching International Maritime Organization rules requiring ships to burn low-sulfur fuels are having an unexpected consequence: keeping older vessels at sea for longer.

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