By Saket Sundria and Alex Longley
Crude has gained this month because of shrinking U.S. stockpiles and rising tensions in the Middle East. The U.K. and its allies are considering beefing up their military presence in the Persian Gulf to deal with the threat to shipping posed by Iran. Still, there are concerns over the longer term outlook for the oil market with OPEC warning of a glut in 2020 while the IEA pointed to a surprise increase in global inventories in the first half of this year.
“The basic message is that the second half of this year will see some depletion in global oil inventories but this will be followed by a dismal 2020,” PVM Oil Associates analyst Tamas Varga wrote in a report.
West Texas Intermediate for August delivery added 12 cents to $60.33 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange as of 10:47 a.m. London time. Brent for September settlement was 24 cents higher at $66.96 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe Exchange. The benchmark crude traded at a premium of $6.53 to WTI for the same month.
Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp. are among companies returning workers to their offshore platforms and restarting output in the Gulf of Mexico following storm Barry. The region accounts for 16% of total American crude oil production and under 3% of natural gas production, according to the Department of Energy.
The International Energy Agency said Friday that production cuts by OPEC and its allies failed to prevent the return of a surplus in the first half of 2019 as supply exceeded demand at a rate of 900,000 barrels a day. China’s gross domestic product rose 6.2% in the second quarter from a year earlier, below the 6.4% expansion in the first quarter.
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