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Oil Gains on Signals U.S. Stockpiles Fell More Than Expected


December 20, 2017 by Grant Smith

(Bloomberg) 

Oil headed toward its highest close in over a week as industry data was said to show a larger-than-expected drop in U.S. crude stockpiles.

February futures in New York added 0.4 percent after gaining 0.6 percent Tuesday. Inventories fell 5.2 million barrels last week, the American Petroleum Institute was said to report, suggesting further tightening in a market already facing the shutdown of a key North Sea pipeline. The drop is bigger than estimates for government data due on Wednesday, which is forecast to show supplies shrank by 3.15 million barrels.

Oil is heading for a second yearly gain as the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies including Russia prolong supply curbs through the end of 2018 with the aim of bringing global inventories down to a five-year average. The market will have re-balanced by mid-2018, fast-forwarding OPEC’s exit from the cuts to the second half of the year, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

“The conditions for a tight first quarter are drifting into place,” said Amrita Sen, chief oil analyst at consultants Energy Aspects Ltd. in London.

West Texas Intermediate for  February delivery was at $57.79 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, up 23 cents, at 1:21 p.m. in London. Total volume traded was about 63 percent below the  100-day average. The January contract added 30 cents on Tuesday to expire at $57.46.

Brent for February settlement added 11 cents to $63.91 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange after rising 39 cents on Tuesday. The global benchmark crude traded at a premium of $6.11 to WTI.

See also: Oil Prices in 2018: Once Again It’s All About U.S. Shale Output

U.S. crude inventories would have fallen for a fifth week if the Energy Information Administration data confirms a decline on Wednesday. Gasoline stockpiles climbed by 2 million barrels last week, the API was said to report. Distillate supplies dropped by 2.85 million barrels, which would be the largest decline since early November if replicated in the EIA data.

Oil-market news:

TransCanada Corp.’s grand plan to lay 1,179 miles (1,897 kilometers) of pipe to carry Western Canadian crude to Texas and Louisiana refineries suffered its latest setback on Tuesday. Saudi Arabia expects oil revenue to jump 12 percent next year in a sign the world’s biggest crude exporter expects prices to keep rising in 2018.



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